Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.030413 0.032698 0.035084 0.037766 0.040701 0.043820 0.047389
2025-05-25 0.026441 0.029648 0.033174 0.037352 0.042185 0.047622 0.054231
2025-06-01 0.023618 0.027317 0.031540 0.036748 0.043035 0.050430 0.059861
2025-06-08 0.021443 0.025417 0.030092 0.036044 0.043486 0.052568 0.064625
2025-06-15 0.019876 0.024054 0.029096 0.035696 0.044201 0.054925 0.069679
2025-06-22 0.018591 0.022908 0.028237 0.035383 0.044844 0.057126 0.074585
2025-06-29 0.017350 0.021716 0.027210 0.034736 0.044940 0.058535 0.078438
2025-07-06 0.016682 0.021202 0.027000 0.035111 0.046374 0.061779 0.085016
2025-07-13 0.015948 0.020547 0.026548 0.035105 0.047246 0.064255 0.090631
2025-07-20 0.015437 0.020153 0.026411 0.035499 0.048672 0.067572 0.097702
2025-07-27 0.014766 0.019500 0.025874 0.035286 0.049185 0.069557 0.102856
2025-08-03 0.014147 0.018886 0.025353 0.035050 0.049630 0.071436 0.107948
2025-08-10 0.013566 0.018300 0.024848 0.034817 0.050072 0.073353 0.113284
2025-08-17 0.013072 0.017815 0.024462 0.034731 0.050722 0.075622 0.119371
2025-08-24 0.012497 0.017188 0.023835 0.034243 0.050707 0.076810 0.123695
2025-08-31 0.011924 0.016536 0.023142 0.033612 0.050417 0.077515 0.127202
2025-09-07 0.011477 0.016049 0.022670 0.033296 0.050604 0.079002 0.132196
2025-09-14 0.011067 0.015601 0.022234 0.033009 0.050813 0.080524 0.137355
2025-09-21 0.010604 0.015055 0.021626 0.032414 0.050469 0.081060 0.140692
2025-09-28 0.010404 0.014898 0.021605 0.032759 0.051721 0.084448 0.149749
2025-10-05 0.010130 0.014616 0.021378 0.032753 0.052364 0.086784 0.156935
2025-10-12 0.009957 0.014483 0.021376 0.033116 0.053661 0.090380 0.166963
2025-10-19 0.009667 0.014155 0.021051 0.032919 0.053954 0.092127 0.173331